Socio-Economic Dynamics and Demography of Regions

Natalia Zubarevich – Main Research fellow of the Demography and Migration Research Department, Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Doctor of Geographic Sciences, Professor. E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Nikita Mkrtchyan – Leading Research fellow of the Demography and Migration Research Department, Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Candidate of Geographic Sciences. Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Еkaterina Tretyakova – Research fellow of the Demography and Migration Research Department, Institute for Social Analysis and Forecasting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

In January-April 2018, the main factor that affected the budgetary sphere were the federal elections, which resulted in a significant growth of regional budgets income thanks to PIT and transfers as well as accelerated growth of social expenditure primarily on health care and social safety net. Regional socio-economic development dynamics demonstrate growing polarization regarding investment, housing construction, retail trade turnover, small business employment, and the state of the labor market.

For the first four months of 2018, natural population loss in Russia has increased. This situation was explained by both a continuing decrease of new births (4.3$ less against the same period 2017) and growth of mortality rate by 1%.

In Q1 2018, migration inflow continued contracting and barely half compensated the mortality. The main reason is the pre-crisis level of migration from the Ukraine. Regional properties of the population loss have not been changed significantly.

Key words: regional analysis, budgetary expenditure, birth rate, mortality, migration, social indicators.